Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 14

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	La Nucía		Atzeneta

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.8	3.25	4.51
	1.68	3.31	5.39	Watch
	1.67	3.1	5
	1.63	3.3	5.4
	1.66	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	5.01 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
54%

Draw
27.8%

Atzeneta
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Atzeneta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Nucía that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atzeneta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atzeneta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Nucía - Atzeneta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Luispa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Recent performances by La Nucía have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atzeneta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

La Nucía could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Nucía won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, La Nucía won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Atzeneta	5	0	4	1	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.01.26	Roda - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Recambios Colón - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	La Nucía - Torrellano	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Levante B - La Nucía	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules B - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTW
- Atzeneta UE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.01.26	Atzeneta - Hércules B	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atzeneta - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atzeneta - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Atzeneta - Crevillente Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.04.25	Atzeneta - La Nucía	0:1
08.12.24	La Nucía - Atzeneta	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.03.21	La Nucía - Atzeneta	1:0
05.12.20	Atzeneta - La Nucía	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.12.18	La Nucía - Atzeneta	2:0

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