Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	La Nucía		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.2
	1.88	2.85	4.1
	2.08	2.75	3.8
	1.94	2.95	3.95
	1.97	2.88	4.76
	1.93	2.97	4.55
	1.95	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.6)	2.91 ↑ (2.7)	4.19 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
46.8%

Draw
31.4%

Cornellà
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

35.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Nucía's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Nucía that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Nucía - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent matches La Nucía is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cornellà is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cornellà could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Nucía is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.01.23	Barcelona B - La Nucía	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	La Nucía - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.23	La Nucía - Valencia	0:3 ✺
22.12.22	La Nucía - Las Palmas	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	UD Logroñés - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLWT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.23	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Calahorra - Cornellà	2:3 ✺
18.12.22	Cornellà - Numancia	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	SD Logroñés - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Cornellà - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Cornellà - La Nucía	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.05.21	Cornellà - La Nucía	2:1
11.04.21	La Nucía - Cornellà	0:0
15.01.20	Cornellà - La Nucía	1:0
25.08.19	La Nucía - Cornellà	1:0

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