Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadi Olimpic Camilo Cano La Nucia (La Nucia)

Referee: Lopez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 2


	La Nucía		Valencia

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.47	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.5
	5.8	4.2	1.5
	6.7	4.13	1.47
	6.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	6.35	4.4	1.48	Watch
	7	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↓ (8.06)	4.25 ↓ (4.89)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
14.8%

Draw
22.1%

Valencia
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

19%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

15.5%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	24.1%	55.2%

La Nucía - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. La Nucía will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Valencia will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

La Nucía is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Valencia have a series of home games.

In this match Valencia is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	La Nucía - Las Palmas	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	UD Logroñés - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Real Sociedad B - La Nucía	2:3 ✺
06.12.22	La Nucía - Intercity	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Calahorra - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWTW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
31.12.22	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Valencia - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
16.12.22	Valencia - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
09.12.22	Valencia - Clermont	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.22	Valencia - Betis	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

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