Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	La Nucía		Valencia B

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.69	3.27	1.99
	3.75	3.29	1.97
	3.82	3.24	1.97
	3.75	3.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.03)	3.23 ↑ (3.19)	1.96 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
24.6%

Draw
28.4%

Valencia B
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

30.8%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Nucía's form might have worsened.

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

La Nucía - Valencia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Gonzalez H. (Pen),
30', 0 - 2, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Moreno Meca C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 4, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
75', 0 - 5, Joselu ⚽,
87', 0 - 6, Camus M. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

La Nucía has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valencia B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valencia B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Valencia B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.03.24	La Nucía - Hércules	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	CE Europa - La Nucía	4:2 ✺
03.03.24	La Nucía - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Penya Independent - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	La Nucía - Andratx	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.03.24	Valencia B - Espanyol B	3:2 ✺
13.03.24	CE Europa - Valencia B	3:3 ✺
10.03.24	Hércules - Valencia B	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Valencia B - Lleida	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Valencia B - Badalona Futur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.11.23	Valencia B - La Nucía	3:2
13.03.21	Valencia B - La Nucía	1:0
12.12.20	La Nucía - Valencia B	1:1
02.02.20	La Nucía - Valencia B	0:0
14.09.19	Valencia B - La Nucía	0:0

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