Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	La Palma		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.58
	5.4	3.45	1.59
	5.57	3.54	1.57
	5.4	3.45	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↓ (5.56)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Palma
16.7%

Draw
26.1%

Ciudad de Lucena
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25.7%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Palma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Palma than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Barrera S. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Suarez M. (Pen),
16', 2 - 1, Cascajo A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Barroso S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 3 - 2, Vargas D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches La Palma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ciudad de Lucena is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

La Palma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ciudad de Lucena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Palma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams La Palma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Palma CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
30.03.25	Córdoba B - La Palma	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	La Palma - Ceuta B	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Espeleño - La Palma	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	La Palma - Conil	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cartaya - La Palma	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWT
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.03.25	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	San Roque de Lepe - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Bollullos	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
10.03.24	Ciudad de Lucena - La Palma	1:0
29.10.23	La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
10.01.21	Ciudad de Lucena - La Palma	3:0

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