Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	La Unión		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.82	2.45
	2.91	2.79	2.72
	2.87	2.7	2.72
	2.75	2.75	2.61
	2.83	2.71	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.56)	2.75 ↓ (2.92)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
32.1%

Draw
33.2%

Águilas
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

32.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Unión, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

La Unión - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Raigal J. 🟥,
37', 0 - 1, Jove Balero U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Riera R. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Pedrosa J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 1.

La Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, La Unión won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.02.26	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Melilla - La Unión	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	La Unión - Antoniano	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Xerez Deportivo - La Unión	4:2 ✺
04.01.26	La Unión - Estepona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Águilas	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Águilas - Minera	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Águilas - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	Águilas - La Unión	2:0
27.04.25	La Unión - Águilas	0:1
15.12.24	Águilas - La Unión	0:0
14.04.24	Águilas - La Unión	2:0
03.12.23	La Unión - Águilas	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.02.23	Águilas - La Unión	3:0
30.10.22	La Unión - Águilas	0:0

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