Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	La Unión		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.56	Watch
				Watch
	5.9	3.55	1.55
	25.00	13.76	1.00	Watch
	5.94	3.71	1.58	Watch
	6.2	3.8	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.81 ↑ (6.47)	5.71 ↑ (3.7)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
10.5%

Draw
18.1%

Ceuta
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

24.9%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

24.3%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

La Unión - Ceuta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ceuta will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oliva H. (G) 22. Grande A. 16. Gomez M. 4. Riera R. 11. Marquez D. 7. Davila Y. 8. Ortiz A. (C) 18. Ruiz D. 6. Bernabeu G. 21. Orobio E. 12. Perez M.	1. Lopez P. (C) 2. Sanchez M. 4. Caparros A. 24. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 20. Escudero A. 26. Bassinga A. 14. Bodiger Y. 25. Sanchez S. 12. Obeng S. 21. Vallejo M.
Substitutes
14. El Kounni K. 1. Fernandez A. 9. Francis 20. Gomez D. 15. Lozano D. 23. Raigal J. 5. Ruiz D. 10. Santos Colado J. 25. Torres D.	17. Almenara G. 18. de la Fuente K. 15. Gonzalez D. 30. Josema 22. Kone K. 11. Ortuno J. 10. Rodriguez C. 13. Vallejo G. (G) 5. Youness

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Vallejo M. ⚽, Obeng S. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Sanchez M. ⚽, Redruello Nimo C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Riera R. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
46', Grande A. ↓, El Kounni K. ↑,
59', Orobio E. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
59', Ortiz A. ↓, Francis ↑,
65', Escudero A. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
65', Sanchez M. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
65', Perez M. ↓, Raigal J. ↑,
68', Bassinga A. ↓, Josema ↑,
72', Marquez D. 🟨,
82', Obeng S. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
82', Vallejo M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
85', El Kounni K. 🟨,
85', Almenara G. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, La Unión has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ceuta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ceuta is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	La Unión - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Puente Genil - La Unión	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	La Unión - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWTW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Leonesa - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ceuta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Albacete Balompié - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ceuta - Eibar	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWT

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