Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Albacete Balompié		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.97
	1.85	3.75	3.96	Watch
	1.98	3.45	4.06	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.91 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
49%

Draw
26.8%

Ceuta
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Ceuta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	15.8%	0%

Albacete Balompié - Ceuta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ceuta (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Albacete Balompié will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 40%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (G) 15. Gamez F. 23. Pepe 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 16. Lazo J. 17. Melendez A. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 22. Morcillo J. 19. Escriche D. 4. Agus Medina	13. Vallejo G. (G) 23. Anuar 6. Hernandez C. (C) 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 8. Zalazar K. 5. Youness 19. Jamelli 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
10. Betancor J. 14. Garcia H. J. 3. Gomez J. 2. Lorenzo 1. Marino D. (G) 5. Moreno J. 6. Pacheco A. 18. Villar J.	26. Bassinga A. 14. Bodiger Y. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 20. Escudero A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 2. Sanchez M. 25. Sanchez S. 21. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Youness 🟨,
66', Zalazar K. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
66', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
66', Jamelli 🟨,
71', Escriche D. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
71', Lazo J. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
78', Ahmed A. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
78', Youness ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
86', Betancor J. 🟨,
89', Melendez A. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
89', Neva C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
89', Bassinga A. 🟨,
90+2', Gamez F. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).

In recent matches, Albacete has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ceuta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albacete could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Albacete: Puertas A. (Red Card) Valverde V. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Ceuta: Almenara G. (Injury) Obeng S. (Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Albacete: Marin H. (Foot Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.25	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.25	Ceuta - Eibar	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ceuta - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Castellón - Ceuta	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Ceuta - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTWTW

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