The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Virgen del Camino 46.2%
Draw 29.7%
La Bañeza 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
27.3%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
19.2%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
La Bañeza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Virgen del Camino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Bañeza than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Bañeza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
La Virgen del Camino - La Bañeza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 8 (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 8 (Relegation Group)).
La Virgen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches La Bañeza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
La Virgen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
La Virgen will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches La Virgen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams La Virgen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
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