Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lagarto		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.75	2.95	4.95
	1.69	3.1	4.6
	1.64	3.18	5.31
	1.78	2.9	4.4
	1.67	3.38	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)	3.12 ↑ (2.77)	4.83 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
52.5%

Draw
28.9%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

32.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

30.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lagarto's performance.

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Lagarto - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lagarto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Atlético Alagoinhas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lagarto: 4% – 71%.

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Preview

Lagarto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético de Alagoinhas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lagarto is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Lagarto	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Lagarto - Sergipe	2:1 ✺
11.06.22	Juazeirense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Lagarto - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWLW
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.22	Jacuipense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:1 ✺
27.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Santa Cruz Recife	1:4 ✺
16.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
24.04.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Lagarto	1:1

Lagarto - Atlético de Alagoinhas