Match Info

Serie D - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Lagarto		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.94	2.98
	2.41	3.01	2.95
	2.3	2.9	2.75
	2.4	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	2.94 ↑ (2.81)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
38.2%

Draw
30.9%

Retrô Brasil
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

32.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lagarto - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 0, Erik Gabriel ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Radsley (Penalty Awarded),
86', 1 - 2, Radsley (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Retrô has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lagarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Retrô Brasil - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Lagarto - Treze	5:4 ✺
05.04.26	Decisão - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Lagarto	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.02.26	Lagarto - América de Propriá	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLW
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Retrô Brasil - Serra Branca	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Treze - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Retrô Brasil - Ceará	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLLW

Lagarto - Retrô Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide