Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Lagoa		Alcochetense

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.78
	2.43	2.96	2.76
	2.44	3.09	2.78	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.26	3.5	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.79 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lagoa
38%

Draw
29.5%

Alcochetense
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.5%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Lagoa - Alcochetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 6)

Lagoa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcochetense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lagoa	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
8	GD Alcochetense	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.04.26	Portimonense B - Lagoa	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Oriental - Lagoa	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lagoa - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alverca B - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lagoa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTLW
- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.04.26	Alcochetense - Oriental	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Alverca B - Alcochetense	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Alcochetense - Louletano	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Alcochetense - Elvas	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Juventude de Évora - Alcochetense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
20.12.25	Alcochetense - Lagoa	1:0

Lagoa - Alcochetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide