Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Alcochetense		Louletano

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.92	2.4
	3.21	2.72	2.34
	3.17	2.84	2.35	Watch
	3	2.63	2.38
	3.18	3.08	2.26
	2.55	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.55)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)	2.37 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcochetense
30.1%

Draw
31.8%

Louletano
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

30.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcochetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Alcochetense - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

In recent matches, Alcochetense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Louletano is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcochetense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	GD Alcochetense	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.03.26	Alcochetense - Elvas	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Juventude de Évora - Alcochetense	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sintrense - Alcochetense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alcochetense - Portimonense B	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alcochetense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTWL
- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.03.26	Comércio e Indústria - Louletano	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Louletano - Serpa	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Louletano - Oriental	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Alverca B - Louletano	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Louletano - Elvas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Louletano - Alcochetense	0:2

Alcochetense - Louletano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide