Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Lajeadense		Veranopolis

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.75	2.15
	3.4	2.75	2.12
	3.7	2.97	1.98
	3.43	2.97	2.15	Watch
	3.65	2.9	1.96
	3.86	3.03	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajeadense
25.3%

Draw
31.1%

Veranopolis
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

30.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

29.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajeadense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Veranopolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajeadense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veranopolis than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lajeadense - Veranopolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+6', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation ~ Gaucho 3 and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

In this matchup, Veranopolis is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lajeadense has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lajeadense against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Lajeadense
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.09.26	Aimoré - Lajeadense	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lajeadense - Gaúcho	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - Lajeadense	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Lajeadense - Frederiquense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Lajeadense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Veranopolis
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.09.26	Veranopolis - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Veranopolis - GE Bagé	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gaúcho - Veranopolis	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Veranopolis - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
15.06.25	Veranopolis - Lajeadense	4:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
30.03.16	Lajeadense - Veranopolis	0:0
04.02.15	Veranopolis - Lajeadense	0:2

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