Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Lajense		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.15
	1.46	4	5.89
	1.51	3.94	5.61	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5
	1.58	3.8	4.88
	1.5	3.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	5.22 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajense
58.9%

Draw
23.9%

SC Lusitânia
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Lajense - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 🟥,
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+9', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Lajense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.03.26	Mortágua - Lajense	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lajense - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fatima - Lajense	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lajense - SB Castelo Branco	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLL
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.03.26	SC Lusitânia - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Lajense	1:2

Lajense - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide