Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	4.98	3.75	1.56
	4.95	3.8	1.59	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.62
	4.9	3.61	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.95)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	1.61 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
18.7%

Draw
24.9%

União da Serra
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União da Serra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-4%)

SC Lusitânia - União da Serra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - União da Serra (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).

SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

União da Serra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, União da Serra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Uniao Da Serra	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	SC Lusitânia - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas	0:5 ✺
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLT
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Lajense - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eléctrico - União da Serra	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	União da Serra - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	União da Serra - Naval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	União da Serra - SC Lusitânia	2:0

SC Lusitânia - União da Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide