Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Fatima		Lajense

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.15
	2.23	2.8	3.33
	2.25	2.87	3.33	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.1
	2.21	3.18	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)	2.89 ↓ (3.04)	3.22 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatima
40.5%

Draw
31.4%

Lajense
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Fatima - Lajense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
61', 🟥,
70', 🟥,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lajense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fatima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fatima	4	1	1	2	6:5	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.26	Fatima - Samora Correia	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Peniche - Fatima	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Marinhense - Fatima	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fatima - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	União da Serra - Fatima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWT
- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.02.26	Lajense - SB Castelo Branco	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lajense - Eléctrico	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lajense - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.10.25	Lajense - Fatima	0:1

Fatima - Lajense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide