Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima (Lajes)


	Lajense		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.78	2.83	2.64	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.6
	2.7	2.84	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.7)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)	2.6 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajense
32.7%

Draw
32.5%

SB Castelo Branco
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Lajense - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lajense (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 🟥,
46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SB Castelo Branco has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	SB Castelo Branco	4	2	0	2	7:9	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lajense - Eléctrico	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Peniche - Lajense	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lajense - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Lajense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.02.26	SB Castelo Branco - Eléctrico	6:1 ✺
25.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Naval - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Fatima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - Lajense	2:2

Lajense - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide