Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Lamelas		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.92	2.12
	2.98	2.92	2.12
	3.08	3.3	2.07
	3.2	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (6.03)	3.04 ↓ (3.79)	2.13 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lamelas
29%

Draw
29.3%

Amarante
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

24.3%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

24.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lamelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lamelas's performance.

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamelas than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lamelas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lamelas - Amarante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lamelas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', Cardoso F. ⚽,
88', Correa E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Amarante is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group )

Recent matches Lamelas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amarante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lamelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Amarante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lamelas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACDR Lamelas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.03.24	Lamelas - Florgrade	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Rebordosa - Lamelas	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Lamelas - Paredes	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Marco 09 - Lamelas	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lamelas - Oliveira do Douro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 LWWLW
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.24	Amarante - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	São João de Ver - Amarante	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Amarante - Florgrade	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Gondomar - Amarante	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Amarante - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.12.23	Amarante - Lamelas	3:0

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