Match Info

GREECE: Super League - Round 20

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Athanasios Diakos Stadium (Lamia)

Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	ANT1 Satellite
World	Triller TV+


	Lamia		Aris

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.95
	4.76	3.11	1.96
				Watch
	4.2	3	1.95
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.31)	3.04 ↓ (3.12)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lamia
21.2%

Draw
30.9%

Aris
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

29.9%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

31.1%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Lamia - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Lamia will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Aris will win (votes: 18 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 5. Gotzamanidis N. 22. Siovas D. 94. Giannoutsos G. 2. Dentakis A. 8. Sourlis V. 20. Athanasakopoulos A. 23. Doiranlis G. 3. Saramantas G. 10. Furtado G. 11. Vlachomitros A.	23. Julian (G) 33. Montoya M. 4. Velez F. 14. Brabec J. 17. Frydek M. 5. Cifuentes J. 16. Darida V. 10. Fetfatzidis G. 8. Monchu 7. Sisto P. 80. Moron L.
Substitutes
17. Bykov A. 9. Chavez A. 7. Ibanez R. 12. Kostic I. (G) 26. Lake T. 27. Radonja V. 4. Sanchez S. 36. Tshibola A. 21. Vitlis V.	18. Fattore V. 30. Jules J. 11. Kike Saverio 31. Kyriazis K. (G) 37. Mendyl H. 19. Quaison R. 92. Rose L. 9. Zamora A.
Coaches
Dragicevic R.	Ouzounidis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Frydek M. ↓, Mendyl H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Mendyl H. 🟨,
57', Moron L. 🟨,
58', Athanasakopoulos A. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
59', Vitlis V. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Moron L. ⚽, Mendyl H. (A),
72', Sisto P. ↓, Kike Saverio ↑,
72', Fetfatzidis G. ↓, Zamora A. ↑,
75', Giannoutsos G. ↓, Lake T. ↑,
76', Vlachomitros A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Moron L. ⚽, Kike Saverio (A),
89', Furtado G. 🟥,
90', Vitlis V. ↓, Radonja V. ↑,
90+1', Moron L. ↓, Quaison R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lamia won 1.

Lamia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aris is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lamia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aris is a favorite.

There are questionable in Aris: Diandy C. (Muscle Injury) Juankar (Illness) Kike Saverio (Injury) Mallo H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lamia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:29 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lamia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lamia FC
Greek Super League
20.01.25	Panserraikos - Lamia	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Lamia - Atromitos Athens	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Lamia	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Lamia - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
19.01.25	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Aris - OFI	0:2 ✺
23.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Aris - Panserraikos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
05.10.24	Aris - Lamia	2:0
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Aris - Lamia	0:1
Greek Super League
15.05.24	Lamia - Aris	2:4
31.03.24	Aris - Lamia	3:1
20.12.23	Aris - Lamia	2:2
27.08.23	Lamia - Aris	1:0
05.03.23	Lamia - Aris	2:1

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