Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Apollon Smyrni		PAOK

	1	X	2
	8.5	4	1.45	Watch
	8.5	4.2	1.4	Watch
	7.5	3.95	1.42
	8	4	1.4
	9.14	4.28	1.41
	8	3.9	1.4
	8.5	4.4	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.31 ↑ (5.68)	4.1 ↑ (3.61)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
11.2%

Draw
22.7%

PAOK
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

25.6%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

21.5%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	9.6%	83%

Apollon Smyrni - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (78 of 94 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.38% – 90.58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group)).

Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (65.72%), has project points - 23, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (77%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

PAOK has the most likely position - 2 (65.36%), has project points - 68, has currently - 38, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (72%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Apollon Smyrni has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

PAOK is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently PAOK have a series of home games.

In this match PAOK is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
30.01.22	PAS Giannina - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	1:0 ✺
19.01.22	Volos - Apollon Smyrni	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Apollon Smyrni - Aris	0:0 ✺
12.01.22	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
30.01.22	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Volos - PAOK	0:4 ✺
Greek Cup
19.01.22	PAOK - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
15.01.22	PAOK - OFI	3:0 ✺
12.01.22	PAOK - Panetolikos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
30.10.21	PAOK - Apollon Smyrni	4:1
07.02.21	PAOK - Apollon Smyrni	2:2
08.11.20	Apollon Smyrni - PAOK	1:3
18.02.19	Apollon Smyrni - PAOK	1:5
07.10.18	PAOK - Apollon Smyrni	2:0
21.01.18	PAOK - Apollon Smyrni	3:0
11.09.17	Apollon Smyrni - PAOK	0:0

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