Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)


	Lanús		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	1.86	3	4.75	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.75
	1.92	3.05	4.65
	1.99	3.08	4.87
	1.96	3.07	4.63	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.4
	1.94	2.99	4.59	Watch
	1.91	2.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)	2.99 ↑ (2.86)	4.53 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
48.3%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Riestra
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

32.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

31.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lanús - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 35. De Jesus R. 3. Morgantini N. 16. Sepulveda M. 30. Cardozo A. 27. Sanchez F. 25. Aquino D. 19. Valois Y. 9. Bou W.	1. Arce I. (G) 36. Bracamonte M. 24. Mino F. 19. Randazzo J. 22. Paz C. 5. Ramirez P. 16. Watson N. 14. Monje P. 32. Flores G. 9. Herrera J. (C) 31. Smarra M.
Substitutes
77. Besozzi L. 20. Cabrera B. 13. Canale Dominguez J. 23. Carrera R. 33. Guidara T. 26. Losada N. (G) 10. Marcelino Moreno 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 2. Romero L. 11. Salvio E. 8. Watson F. N.	7. Alonso A. 39. Duarte L. 13. Gallo R. 20. Garcia M. 30. Landriel L. 12. Lopez I. (G) 25. Madero P. 11. Nsumoh J. 40. Obredor G. 45. Perez B. 28. Sayavedra R. 35. Stringa A.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Benitez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Bou W. 🟨,
18', Aquino D. 🟨,
20', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanchez F. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
56', Flores G. 🟨,
59', Flores G. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
59', Smarra M. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
59', Bou W. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
66', Randazzo J. 🟨,
68', Aquino D. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
68', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salvio E. ↑,
72', Herrera J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
83', Cardozo A. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,

Preview

Federation decision.

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lanús is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Lanús - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Lanús - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Lanús - Always Ready	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.26	Lanús - Banfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWW
- Deportivo Riestra
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Grêmio - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.07.25	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	1:0
23.01.25	Lanús - Deportivo Riestra	0:2
09.08.24	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	3:1

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