Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Fanatiz
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		Tigre

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.85	4.5	Watch
	2.02	2.98	4.45	Watch
	2.04	3.03	4.74
	2.08	2.99	4.12	Watch
	2.02	2.9	4.4	Watch
	2	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	2.96 ↑ (2.85)	4.45 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
46.8%

Draw
32%

Tigre
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

32%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

31.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Lanús - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tigre (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tigre (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 23. Carrera R. 30. Cardozo A. 8. Watson F. N. 10. Marcelino Moreno 11. Salvio E. 19. Castillo R.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 17. Soto G. 42. Arias R. 14. Cardona T. 24. Alvarez F. 33. Cabrera E. 22. Lopez J. 23. Pineiro G. 21. Medina S. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W. 14. Canelo A. 35. De Jesus R. 21. Mendez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 2. Munoz E. 33. Ramirez J. 50. Sanchez F. 36. Segovia A.	18. Armoa B. 20. Barrionuevo A. 30. Elias J. 11. Fertoli H. 5. Leyes B. 32. Martinez B. 25. Moreno V. 19. Oviedo A. 7. Rivero S. G. 10. Saralegui J. 6. Sosa D. 26. Sultani T. (G)
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Carrera R. 🟨,
41', Pineiro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽,
60', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
60', Watson F. N. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
62', Cabrera E. ↓, Saralegui J. ↑,
62', Pineiro G. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
73', Soto G. ↓, Barrionuevo A. ↑,
78', Carrera R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
83', Medina S. ↓, Rivero S. G. ↑,
83', Romero D. ↓, Elias J. ↑,
84', Salvio E. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
88', Pellegrino M. 🟥,
90+8', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 3.

Lanús is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tigre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lanús is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Ortega M. (Coach's decision) Saralegui J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Copa Sudamericana
22.11.25	Lanús - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.11.25	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	San Martín de San Juan - Lanús	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Banfield - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.10.25	Lanús - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLW
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.11.25	Boca Juniors - Tigre	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Belgrano - Tigre	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Tigre - Barracas Central	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.08.24	Lanús - Tigre	3:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.03.24	Tigre - Lanús	2:3
26.10.23	Lanús - Tigre	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Tigre - Lanús	2:1
03.09.22	Lanús - Tigre	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.02.22	Lanús - Tigre	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.10.18	Tigre - Lanús	1:1

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