Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	18:00	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	19:00	Paramount+
Bulgaria	00:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	19:00	Disney+
Colombia	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	23:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	23:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	00:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Indonesia	05:00	Mola TV
Israel	00:00	Sport 2
Italy	23:00	Como TV
Kosovo	23:00	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	06:00	Mola
Mexico	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	11:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN 5 Norte
Paraguay	19:00	Tigo Sports+
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	23:00	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	22:00	Sport TV3
Russia	01:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	23:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	23:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ESPN South
Spain	23:00	LaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos
Switzerland	23:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	01:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Lanús		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	5	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.7
	1.85	3.35	4.54
	1.79	3.51	4.64	Watch
				Watch
	1.84	3.32	5.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.79)	3.34 ↓ (3.51)	4.85 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
52%

Draw
28.5%

Universidad de Chile
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	11.1%	16.7%

Lanús - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lanús (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lanús will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 39. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 23. Carrera R. 19. Castillo R.	25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 15. Salomoni F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 19. Altamirano J. 11. Guerra N. 18. Di Yorio L.
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W. 14. Canelo A. 21. Mendez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 2. Munoz E. 33. Ramirez J. 40. Romero L. 50. Sanchez F. 36. Segovia A. 8. Watson F. N.	27. Contreras R. 24. Diaz A. 21. Diaz M. 9. Fernandez L. 6. Fernandez N. 34. Moya F. 5. Ramirez N. 13. Retamal D. 14. Rodriguez S. 16. Sepulveda M. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Cardozo A. 🟨,
34', Acosta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
65', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
70', Salomoni F. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
76', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
83', Carrera R. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
83', Salvio E. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
86', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
86', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
90+2', Calderon F. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
90+4', Medina A. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
90+6', Fernandez L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

Lanús is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lanús is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Copa Sudamericana
23.10.25	Universidad de Chile - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.25	Lanús - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Independiente - Lanús	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Lanús - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWT
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
26.10.25	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.10.25	Universidad de Chile - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.10.25	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.09.25	Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.10.25	Universidad de Chile - Lanús	2:2
25.09.13	Universidad de Chile - Lanús	1:0
18.09.13	Lanús - Universidad de Chile	4:0

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