Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lanús		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.85	3.42	4.67
	2.03	3.21	3.95	Watch
	1.85	3.32	4.43	Watch
	2	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	4.4 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
50.1%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético Tucumán
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

Lanús - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lanús will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 39. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 23. Carrera R. 19. Castillo R.	1. Mansilla M. (G) 4. Martinez D. 6. Ferrari G. 13. Ortiz M. 33. Brizuela M. 8. Acosta G. (C) 5. Sanchez A. 45. Ortiz K. 22. Ruiz R. 27. Diaz L. 23. Lamendola N.
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W. 14. Canelo A. 35. De Jesus R. 17. Morales L. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 2. Munoz E. 33. Ramirez J. 40. Romero L. 50. Sanchez F. 8. Watson F. N.	35. Abeldano G. 28. Auzqui C. 9. Bajamich M. 29. Cabrera L. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 37. Godoy E. 24. Godoy L. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 14. Grillo F. 34. Roman P. 18. Tesuri R. 36. Vallejo L.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Colace H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Canale Dominguez J. ⚽, Castillo R. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Ruiz R. ⚽, Lamendola N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Medina A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
51', Sanchez A. 🟨,
56', Sanchez A. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
56', Ruiz R. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
59', Godoy L. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Salvio E. ⚽,
73', Lamendola N. ↓, Tesuri R. ↑,
74', Brizuela M. ↓, Grillo F. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Marcelino Moreno ⚽, Marcich S. (A),
79', Salvio E. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
79', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
86', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
88', Carrera R. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
88', Acosta G. ↓, Godoy E. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

Lanús is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2.

In recent matches, Lanús has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Tucumán has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L. (Inactive) Bou W. (Knock) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Munoz E. (Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Villa M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético Tucumán: Acosta G. (Injury) Ruiz R. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.25	San Martín de San Juan - Lanús	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Banfield - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.10.25	Lanús - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
23.10.25	Universidad de Chile - Lanús	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.25	Lanús - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWTW
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.25	Atlético Tucumán - Godoy Cruz	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	3:0 ✺
20.10.25	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	1:0
27.10.24	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	1:0
04.06.23	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
15.06.22	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	2:1
17.07.21	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	4:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.21	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.20	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	2:2

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