Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Tigre

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.55	3.55	7.3	Watch
	1.54	3.6	8.21
	1.62	3.67	5.95	Watch
	1.56	3.5	7.11	Watch
	1.61	3.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	7.05 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
60.3%

Draw
26.4%

Tigre
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

26.1%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

25.7%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	34.8%	8.7%

Boca Juniors - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tigre (5.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tigre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 4. Figal J. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 43. Delgado M. 5. Paredes L. (C) 21. Herrera A. 8. Carlos Palacios 16. Miguel Merentiel 7. Zeballos E.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 17. Soto G. 2. Laso J. (C) 14. Cardona T. 24. Alvarez F. 33. Cabrera E. 22. Lopez J. 30. Elias J. 21. Medina S. 9. Romero D. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 10. Cavani E. 11. Janson L. 34. Mendia M. 26. Pellegrino M. 35. Simoni V. 22. Zenon K.	42. Arias R. 18. Armoa B. 20. Barrionuevo A. 37. Fernandez M. 11. Fertoli H. 5. Leyes B. 32. Martinez B. 19. Oviedo A. 23. Pineiro G. 7. Rivero S. G. 6. Sosa D. 26. Sultani T. (G)
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Lopez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Romero D. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
64', Cabrera E. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
69', Oviedo A. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
75', Herrera A. ↓, Cavani E. ↑,
77', Medina S. 🟨,
81', Medina S. ↓, Rivero S. G. ↑,
81', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
83', Delgado M. 🟨,
85', Carlos Palacios ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Cavani E. (Pen),
90+4', Figal J. ↓, Mendia M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.

Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tigre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Boca Juniors is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Ortega M. (Coach's decision) Saralegui J. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.25	Boca Juniors - River Plate	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.25	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Belgrano - Tigre	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Tigre - Barracas Central	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.25	Tigre - Boca Juniors	1:1
19.10.24	Tigre - Boca Juniors	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.02.24	Tigre - Boca Juniors	0:2
03.09.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	1:0
15.06.22	Boca Juniors - Tigre	5:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.05.22	Boca Juniors - Tigre	3:0

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