Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.72
	2.46	3.48	2.56
	2.51	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.51	3.46	2.62
	2.45	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.26)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	2.6 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
37.4%

Draw
27.3%

Lancaster City
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-4%)

Warrington Rylands - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Smith C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 0.

In recent matches, Warrington Rylands has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lancaster is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Rylands - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.29%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Lancaster City - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.98%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	United of Manchester - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWW
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
29.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	1:4 ✺
25.11.25	Lancaster City - Prescot Cables	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Cleethorpes Town - Lancaster City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	2:0
19.04.25	Warrington Rylands - Lancaster City	0:2
20.08.24	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	0:0
13.04.24	Warrington Rylands - Lancaster City	1:2
28.10.23	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	0:0
01.04.23	Warrington Rylands - Lancaster City	2:1
11.10.22	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	2:1

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