Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.25
	2.77	3.31	2.36
	2.90	3.47	2.25	Watch
	2.81	3.14	2.34
	2.8	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	3.27 ↓ (3.47)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
32.5%

Draw
27.9%

Lancaster City
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Bjork B. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Sloan C. ⚽,
17', 0 - 3, Yawson S. ⚽,
30', 0 - 4, Yawson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 4, Morris J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Stocksbridge has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lancaster's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stocksbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stocksbridge has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stocksbridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Stocksbridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Marine - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Morpeth Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.25	Lancaster City - Prescot Cables	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Cleethorpes Town - Lancaster City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
29.10.16	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	2:1

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