Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Guiseley		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.30
	1.89	3.25	3.35
	1.89	3.75	3.36
	1.93	3.81	3.45	Watch
	1.87	3.70	3.30
	1.98	3.54	3.54
	1.91	3.50	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)	3.39 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
47.6%

Draw
25.5%

Lancaster City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Guiseley - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Mbeka L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 1 - 1, Yawson S. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Moonan B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 0.

Guiseley has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lancaster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guiseley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
12	Lancaster	12	5	1	6	16:24	-8	16

Last Results with these Odds

Guiseley - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.34%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Guiseley - Bury	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Workington - Guiseley	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWTW
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.26	Bury - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lancaster City - Quorn	2:2 ✺
18.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Lancaster City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lancaster City - Hyde United	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.02.26	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0
27.09.25	Lancaster City - Guiseley	0:0
01.02.25	Guiseley - Lancaster City	1:2
15.10.24	Lancaster City - Guiseley	1:1
30.03.24	Guiseley - Lancaster City	2:3
26.08.23	Lancaster City - Guiseley	2:2
22.04.23	Lancaster City - Guiseley	2:1

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