Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 8Date: 31 August 2026, Monday
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Lancaster City |
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Workington |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
3.30 |
2.80 |
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2.12 |
3.35 |
2.8 |
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2.11 |
3.68 |
2.9 |
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2.22 |
3.75 |
2.83 |
 Watch |
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2.08 |
3.6 |
2.85 |
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2.08 |
3.63 |
3.21 |
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2.14 |
3.45 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.43) |
3.54 ↑
(3.52) |
2.91 ↑
(2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lancaster City
42.8% | Draw
25.8% | Workington
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Lancaster City - Workington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Hunter L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', 0 - 2, Carroll B. ⚽,
- 85', 0 - 3, Hopper D. ⚽,
- 90+4', Nolan J. 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 1.Recent performances by Lancaster have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Workington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 4 | 21 |
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| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 16 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Lancaster City - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Workington - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.34%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 01.01.26 | Workington - Lancaster City | 1:1 | | 25.08.25 | Lancaster City - Workington | 2:0 | | 21.12.24 | Lancaster City - Workington | 1:1 | | 13.08.24 | Workington - Lancaster City | 1:1 | | 17.02.24 | Lancaster City - Workington | 1:1 | | 26.09.23 | Workington - Lancaster City | 2:1 | | 22.04.19 | Workington - Lancaster City | 0:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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