Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Lealtad		Burgos

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.5	2.9	2.15
	3.5	2.75	2.18
	3.68	2.97	2.29
	3.6	2.8	2.2
	3.45	2.98	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.94)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
26.2%

Draw
31.6%

Burgos
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.1%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

20.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lealtad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lealtad - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Lealtad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lealtad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Burgos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lealtad won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lealtad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.20	Valladolid B - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Lealtad - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Sporting de Gijón B - Lealtad	2:2 ✺
08.11.20	Numancia - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Lealtad - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTTLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.12.20	Burgos - Numancia	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Leonesa - Burgos	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Burgos - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
14.11.20	Burgos - Langreo	0:2 ✺
08.11.20	Covadonga - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.01.18	Burgos - Lealtad	2:1
27.08.17	Lealtad - Burgos	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.17	Lealtad - Burgos	2:1
30.10.16	Burgos - Lealtad	3:0
28.02.16	Burgos - Lealtad	1:1
10.10.15	Lealtad - Burgos	0:0
11.04.15	Burgos - Lealtad	0:0

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