Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.05	2.95	3.65
	2.02	3	4.1
	1.99	2.99	3.98	Watch
	1.98	3.13	3.88
	2.05	2.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.4)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.79 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
45.2%

Draw
30.6%

Real Ávila
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Ávila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Ávila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Compostela - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Compostela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Ávila have a series of home games.

Compostela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Compostela - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Compostela - Laredo	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Salamanca - Compostela	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Compostela - Llanera	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.11.24	CD Extremadura - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWL
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Real Ávila - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Real Ávila - Valladolid	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Real Ávila - Laredo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

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