Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Langreo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.95	2.35
	2.92	3.1	2.22
	3.19	3.1	2.3
	2.97	3.09	2.34	Watch
	3	2.88	2.3
	2.99	3.3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	2.31 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
30.7%

Draw
29.7%

Numancia
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

30.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Langreo - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Neira S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Jony ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Langreo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Langreo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Langreo - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Numancia - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Valladolid B - Langreo	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Langreo - Sámano	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Ávila - Langreo	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Langreo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sarriana - Langreo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Sámano - Numancia	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Numancia - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1
23.02.25	Langreo - Numancia	0:0
13.10.24	Numancia - Langreo	1:1
13.03.21	Langreo - Numancia	1:1
12.12.20	Numancia - Langreo	1:0

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