Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Real Oviedo B		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.05	2.88
	2.37	3.2	3.01
	2.33	3.21	2.89	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.32	3	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.29)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	2.95 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo B
39.4%

Draw
29.7%

Numancia
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

31.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Real Oviedo B - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Recent form of Oviedo B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Numancia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oviedo B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Oviedo B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo B	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo B - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Valladolid B - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	UD Ourense - Real Oviedo B	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Salamanca	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Numancia - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Numancia - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	1:2
03.03.21	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	4:1
21.11.20	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0

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