Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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Coruxo |
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Numancia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
3 |
3.2 |
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2.1 |
3.1 |
3.15 |
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2.1 |
3.27 |
3.31 |
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2.09 |
3.33 |
3.23 |
Watch |
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2.1 |
3 |
3.3 |
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2.09 |
3.14 |
3.31 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.44) |
3.14 ↑ (3.1) |
3.25 ↑ (2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Coruxo 43.3% | Draw 28.8% | Numancia 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coruxo's performance.Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)Coruxo - Numancia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Buyla J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Cidre X. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).Coruxo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Numancia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Numancia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Coruxo might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Coruxo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Coruxo FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Numancia - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;