Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 15

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday


	Kingston City		Western United U21

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.2	1.63
	3.75	4.8	1.61
	3.99	5.24	1.61
	3.63	5.37	1.6	Watch
	3.8	4.4	1.65
	4.09	5	1.53
	3.75	4.8	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.21)	4.83 ↑ (4.64)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingston City
24%

Draw
19%

Western United U21
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

19.8%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

19.5%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingston City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Western United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United U21 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Kingston City - Western United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Kingston City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Western United U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kingston City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Western United U21 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Western United U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kingston City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Kingston City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingston City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
17.05.25	Melbourne Srbija - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
09.05.25	Eastern Lions - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kingston City - Melbourne City Youth	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Moreland City - Kingston City	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Kingston City - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Western United U21
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.05.25	Western United U21 - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:5 ✺
03.05.25	Langwarrin - Western United U21	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Western United U21	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Western United U21 - Melbourne Srbija	3:1 ✺
04.04.25	Western United U21 - Eastern Lions	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
14.02.25	Western United U21 - Kingston City	4:0
18.05.24	Kingston City - Western United U21	1:2

Kingston City - Western United U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide