Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 22

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Langwarrin		Melbourne City Youth

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.9
	3	3.95	1.9
	2.96	4.3	1.94
	3.33	4.31	1.82	Watch
	3.18	4.05	1.86
	2.48	3.9	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (4.64)	4.07 ↓ (4.5)	1.94 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langwarrin
30.5%

Draw
22.4%

Melbourne City Youth
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

18.9%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langwarrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Langwarrin's performance.

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langwarrin than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Langwarrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Langwarrin - Melbourne City Youth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Langwarrin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

Langwarrin is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melbourne City Youth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne City Youth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Langwarrin has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Langwarrin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Langwarrin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Langwarrin SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
05.07.25	Langwarrin - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	Langwarrin - Northcote City	5:2 ✺
21.06.25	Langwarrin - Bentleigh Greens	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Langwarrin - Manningham United	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Brunswick City - Langwarrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWTWW
- Melbourne City Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
12.07.25	Melbourne City Youth - Northcote City	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Melbourne City Youth - Western United U21	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne City Youth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
06.04.25	Melbourne City Youth - Langwarrin	3:1
15.06.24	Langwarrin - Melbourne City Youth	2:2

Langwarrin - Melbourne City Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide