Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva de Lanzarote (Arrecife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Lanzarote		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.33	1.38
	7.75	4.75	1.4
	7.5	4.75	1.36	Watch
	7.44	4.51	1.34
	7.71	4.4	1.37	Watch
	8	4.6	1.33	Watch
	8.3	4.85	1.38	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.84 ↑ (7.46)	4.62 ↑ (4.25)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzarote
11.8%

Draw
20.1%

Racing Santander
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.7%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21.1%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzarote has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Lanzarote - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin A. 8. Dani Gonzalez 4. Rodriguez A. 15. Fernandez R. 10. Fuentes A. 21. Pérez A. 16. Sosa M. 2. Cruz A. 6. Martin J. 20. Febles D. 11. Machin A.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 28. Carrascal M. 18. Manu 39. Gomeza I. 3. Garcia S. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 12. Gueye M. 20. Camara S. 14. Zenitagoia E. 7. Junior L. 19. Karrikaburu J.
Substitutes
26. Dorta A. 13. Fernandez Diaz R. (G) 28. Fonseca J. 9. Iglesias A. 5. Mayor J. 17. Mengoud N. 3. Oli	8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 37. Crespo A. 13. Ezkieta J. (G) 30. Gonzalez D. 22. Rodriguez P. 15. Sangalli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', Sosa M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Karrikaburu J. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Zenitagoia E. ⚽, Karrikaburu J. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Fuentes A. ⚽, Cruz A. (A),
45+1', Gueye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Machin A. ↓, Iglesias A. ↑,
46', Martin A. ↓, Fernandez Diaz R. ↑,
46', Dani Gonzalez ↓, Fonseca J. ↑,
46', Fernandez R. ↓, Mayor J. ↑,
60', Carrascal M. ↓, Crespo A. ↑,
68', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
68', Febles D. ↓, Oli ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Camara S. ⚽, Jeremy Arevalo (A),
78', 2 - 4, Fuentes A. ⚽, Fonseca J. (A),
80', Jeremy Arevalo ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
80', Camara S. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
81', 3 - 4, Fuentes A. ⚽, Iglesias A. (A),
90+4', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Lanzarote is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.10.24	Lanzarote - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Tamaraceite - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lanzarote - Las Palmas B	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Santa Úrsula - Lanzarote	1:2 ✺
08.09.24	Lanzarote - Buzanada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTWW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
23.10.24	Racing Santander - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cádiz - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Racing Santander - Levante	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

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