The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zaragoza 38.3%
Draw 28.5%
Racing Santander 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28.1%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
28.4%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Santander might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
16.7%
43.3%
Zaragoza - Racing Santander Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Racing will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 25.6% – 61%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Racing (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 18. El Yamiq J. 27. Larios J. 33. Saidu Y. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho (C) 11. Gonzalez R. 31. Pinilla H. 9. Gomez D.
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 16. Gonzalez F. 3. Garcia M. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. (C) 11. Martin A. 8. Aldasoro A. 10. Vicente I. 43. Franco S.
Substitutes
22. Agada W. 23. Cuenca M. A. 25. Cumic N. 19. Kodro K. 26. Mensah M. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 15. Pomares C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M. 3. Tasende D.
33. Calera S. 20. Camara S. 44. Chino 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 14. Gueye M. 36. Martinez S. 17. Mata J. 46. Sanchez C. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.
Coaches
Navarro D.
Lopez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Castro J. 🟨,
30', Bare K. 🟨,
44', Vicente I. 🟨,
45', Franco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sainz-Maza I. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
64', Franco S. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Francho (A),
75', Rodriguez D. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
75', Pinilla H. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
75', Francho ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
82', Castro J. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
82', Saidu Y. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
84', Insua P. 🟨,
86', Gomez D. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
86', Gonzalez R. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Sangalli M. (Own goal),
90+1', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2.
Zaragoza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Gomes A.
(Yellow Cards)
Radovanovic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Valery
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Injury)
Canales P.
(Red Card)
Eriksson S.
(International duty)
Guliashvili G.
(International duty)
Lozano M.
(Knee Injury)
Mantilla A.
(Muscle Injury)
Puerta G.
(Yellow Cards)
Ramon P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salinas J.
(International duty)
There are questionable in Zaragoza: Bakis S.
(Injury)
Guti R.
(Injury)
Tachi
(Knee Injury)
de la Fuente P.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Zaragoza - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.65%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Racing Santander - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.