Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Sports 3, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2	3.4	3.2
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.7	3.45
	2	4.13	3.25	Watch
	2	3.6	3.3
	2.15	3.42	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)	3.63 ↑ (3.33)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
45.8%

Draw
25.9%

Levante
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	23.5%	23.5%

Racing Santander - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Levante will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 5. Castro J. 24. Montero J. 40. Garcia M. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 4. Dela 29. Navarro M. 10. Iborra V. (C) 20. Rey O. 24. Alvarez C. 23. Martinez P. 7. Brugue R. 11. Morales J. L.
Substitutes
28. Carrascal M. 37. Crespo A. 3. Garcia S. 12. Gueye M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Junior L. 19. Karrikaburu J. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 14. Zenitagoia E.	17. Clemente O. 34. Cortina B. 38. Espi C. 12. Fabricio 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 9. Romero I. 36. Vacas A. P. (G) 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Lopez J.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Iborra V. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
22', Vicente I. 🟨,
30', Dela 🟨,
39', Brugue R. 🟨,
40', Brugue R. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Lozano S. 🟨,
58', Rodriguez P. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
68', Michelin C. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
68', Garcia M. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
68', Arana J. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
77', Navarro M. ↓, Cortina B. ↑,
78', Morales J. L. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
78', Alvarez C. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Vicente I. ⚽,
82', Garcia S. 🟨,
83', Vicente I. ↓, Carrascal M. ↑,
90+7', Rey O. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Racing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
30.09.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Castellón - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Tenerife - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.24	Levante - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Levante - Almería	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Zaragoza - Levante	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Levante - Eldense	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.04.24	Racing Santander - Levante	0:0
20.11.23	Levante - Racing Santander	2:4
25.03.23	Racing Santander - Levante	0:1
09.10.22	Levante - Racing Santander	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
04.02.12	Levante - Racing Santander	1:1

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