Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium (Lanzhou) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	15:00	Migu


	Lanzhou Longyuan		Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.90	3.40
	2.05	2.85	3.55
	2.18	2.93	3.48
	2.02	2.98	3.91	Watch
	2.15	2.90	3.35
	2.04	3.13	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzhou Longyuan
43.8%

Draw
30.9%

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mu Qianyu (C) 29. Zhao Xiaolong 17. Erkin Ababekri 4. Xiao Yufeng 2. Luo H. 39. Chen Kerui 14. Zhang Zichao 10. Sun Xinkai 18. Memetimin Mewlan 7. Lu J. 40. Lu Zhiyuan	51. Fan Mengtong (G) 16. Gao K. 5. Nihmat Nihat 17. Li Zhuoxuan 2. Diao Jiahao 9. Lu J. 15. Wen Wubin 20. Fan Ruiwei (C) 47. Li Haoyu 42. Zhang Hao 26. Xu Hong
Substitutes
8. Abdukerim O. 42. Hu Yubo 22. Jiang W. 15. Piao Entian 30. Wang Lingke 16. Wang S. 33. Wei Lai 47. Yang Shengming 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 25. Zhang Yue	21. Bian Y. 6. Liang Junheng 11. Liang Z. 4. Liu Xiangchen 8. Muhta M. 27. Murathan Ares 54. Nasirulla Hesenjan (G) 45. Tan L. 57. Wang Junyang
Coaches
Zhang Xiaorui	Uemura K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Sun Xinkai 🟨,
26', Fan Ruiwei 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhao Xiaolong ↓, Hu Yubo ↑,
51', Diao Jiahao 🟨,
54', Li Haoyu ↓, Bian Y. ↑,
54', Lu J. ↓, Muhta M. ↑,
71', Diao Jiahao ↓, Wang Junyang ↑,
73', Nihmat Nihat 🟨,
81', Memetimin Mewlan ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
81', Lu Zhiyuan ↓, Zhang Yue ↑,
85', Zhang Hao ↓, Murathan Ares ↑,
88', Gao K. 🟨,
88', Sun Xinkai ↓, Wang S. ↑,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Lanzhou Longyuan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lanzhou Longyuan has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lanzhou Longyuan against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
11.10.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Wenzhou Professional	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL
- Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Chinese Yi League
12.10.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shanghai Second	3:1 ✺
06.10.26	Changchun Xidu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Dalian Yingbo B - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
13.09.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:2
18.10.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0
14.09.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0

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