Match Info

Date: 20 July 2020, Monday


	Las Palmas		Extremadura UD

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.15	2.95	3.9	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.6
	2.2	3	3.97
	2.1	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.16	3.13	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)	3.03 ↓ (3.56)	3.78 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
44.2%

Draw
31%

Extremadura UD
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

17%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.

Extremadura UD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Palmas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Extremadura UD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Las Palmas - Extremadura UD Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Extremadura UD will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
17.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:2 ✺
11.07.20	Las Palmas - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
08.07.20	Real Oviedo - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
05.07.20	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
02.07.20	Huesca - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWL
- Extremadura UD
Spanish LaLiga2
17.07.20	Extremadura UD - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
12.07.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Extremadura UD	2:3 ✺
07.07.20	Extremadura UD - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
04.07.20	Numancia - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
01.07.20	Extremadura UD - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.19	Extremadura UD - Las Palmas	0:1
03.03.19	Las Palmas - Extremadura UD	1:1
16.09.18	Extremadura UD - Las Palmas	1:2

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