Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	ESPN
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	GXR World
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	01:00	ARY ZAP
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	20:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Rayo Vallecano		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.5
	1.9	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.92	3.42	4.76
	1.97	3.36	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.4
	1.94	3.6	4.53	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.78)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	4.5 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
50.7%

Draw
28%

Las Palmas
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.5%	14.3%	10.2%

Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (37 of 47 users predict this - 78.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.02% – 90.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 5. Hernandez A. 3. Chavarria P. 19. de Frutos J. 15. Gumbau G. 23. Valentin O. (C) 18. Garcia A. 7. Palazon I. 14. Camello S.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 5. Javier Munoz 29. Essugo D. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 19. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
20. Balliu I. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 6. Ciss P. 9. de Tomas R. 4. Diaz P. 21. Embarba A. 27. Fernandez P. 12. Guardiola S. 25. Montiel J. 11. Nteka R. 10. Rodriguez J. 8. Trejo O.	8. Campana J. 9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 21. Gil I. 6. Gonzalez F. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 7. Pejino 11. Ramirez B.
Coaches
Perez I.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Silva F. ⚽, Ramirez S. (A),
10', McKenna S. 🟨,
34', Gumbau G. 🟨,
45+2', Munoz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Essugo D. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Hernandez A. (Own goal),
64', Ramirez S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
64', Moleiro A. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Fuster M. ⚽, Rodriguez K. (A),
71', Gumbau G. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
71', Hernandez A. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
71', Camello S. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
77', Chavarria P. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
77', Palazon I. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
79', Essugo D. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
79', Silva F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez K. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, McKenna S. (Own goal),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2.

Rayo Vallecano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Las Palmas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Vallecano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Espino A. (Foot Injury) Lopez U. (Yellow Cards) Mumin A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Loiodice E. (Knee Injury) Marvin (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Villamuriel - Rayo Vallecano	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Ontiñena - Las Palmas	0:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Las Palmas - Girona	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Valencia - Las Palmas	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.01.24	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	0:2
22.10.23	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.21	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
20.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:0
17.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:2
21.12.19	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
06.02.16	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:0

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