Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 29

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Galvez Rascon D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Las Palmas		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4	7.25
	1.38	4.5	8
	1.41	4.48	9.25
	1.42	4.33	8.2	Watch
	1.38	4.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	4.32 ↑ (3.93)	8.07 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
66.6%

Draw
21.7%

Ponferradina
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

23.5%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

22.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Las Palmas - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (26.37%), has project points - 74, has currently - 53, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a good chance of promoted (58%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (21.66%), has project points - 45, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 65, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 4.

Las Palmas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Las Palmas is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Las Palmas to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.23	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Las Palmas - Lugo	3:0 ✺
06.02.23	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Las Palmas - Huesca	1:0 ✺
20.01.23	Las Palmas - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.23	Ponferradina - Levante	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Ibiza - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
30.01.23	Zaragoza - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Ponferradina - Eibar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.10.22	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:1
03.04.22	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	1:2
25.09.21	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	2:1
02.05.21	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	2:0
05.12.20	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:0
05.07.20	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	3:0
02.10.19	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:2

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