The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Las Palmas 43.8%
Draw 27.1%
Real Sociedad B 29.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
26.2%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
21.8%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.
Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 25. Pezzolesi V. 4. Alex Suarez (C) 15. Herzog J. 21. Bonfanti G. 11. Miyashiro T. 12. Loiodice E. 34. Viera S. 24. Ivan Jaime 10. Jese 14. Fuster M.
32. Olasagasti L. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 15. Calderon I. 5. Kita K. 3. Balda J. (C) 7. Diaz D. 14. Carbonell T. 8. Aguirre I. 11. Marchal A. 16. Gorosabel G. 18. Carrera G.
Substitutes
16. Acimovic M. 26. Bassinga A. 7. Betancor J. 22. Garcia A. 30. Medina I. 43. Mogedano E. (G) 3. Opoku N. 9. Recoba J. 23. Rodriguez A. 20. Rodriguez K. 29. Romero E. 35. Suarez A. (G)
34. Adjabeng A. 23. Agote U. 17. Astiazaran L. 24. Ayo U. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 1. Fraga A. (G) 2. Garro J. 6. Lebarbier A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 12. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 19. Soroeta J.
Coaches
Rodriguez J. M.
Ansotegi I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jese ⚽,
31', Bonfanti G. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
33', Calderon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aguirre I. ↓, Astiazaran L. ↑,
46', Marchal A. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
55', Ruperez I. 🟨,
60', Miyashiro T. ↓, Romero E. ↑,
60', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
60', Fuster M. ↓, Acimovic M. ↑,
63', Viera S. 🟨,
71', Carbonell T. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
74', Gorosabel G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
76', Viera S. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
76', Jese 🟨,
84', Diaz D. ↓, Soroeta J. ↑,
89', Bassinga A. 🟨,
90+3', Eceizabarrena J. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 16th and 19th in the Relegation).
Las Palmas has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Real Sociedad B is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Las Palmas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Las Palmas: Arvelo A.
(Coach's decision)
Cedeno E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Clemente E.
(Injury)
Garcia A.
(Thigh Injury)
Marvin
(Injury)
Ramirez S.
(Injury)
Recoba J.
(Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Injury)
Viti Rozada
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Real Sociedad B: Orobengoa E.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Real Sociedad B: Beitia L.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Las Palmas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Mexico
North Central America
Spain
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Caro J. (G) 
Pezzolesi V. 
Bonfanti G. 
Miyashiro T. 
Loiodice E. 
Acimovic M. 
Bassinga A. 
Opoku N. 
Recoba J. 
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