Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
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United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.5
	1.58	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.99	6.2
	1.00	19.72	40.00	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	6.59 ↑ (4.13)	11.58 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
74.2%

Draw
16.4%

Real Sociedad B
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

24.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Palmas's performance.

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Palmas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Real Sociedad B (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 3. Marmol M. 6. Sergio Barcia 5. Clemente E. 14. Fuster M. 16. Amatucci L. 21. Viera J. 22. Garcia A. 25. Lukovic M. 11. Cardona M.	13. Arana E. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 5. Rodriguez P. 15. Kita K. 23. Agote U. 17. Astiazaran L. 16. Gorosabel G. 14. Carbonell T. 9. Orobengoa E. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 18. Carrera G.
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 12. Loiodice E. 24. Pejino 9. Recoba J. 35. Suarez A. (G)	31. Aguirre I. 3. Balda J. 7. Diaz D. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 32. Folgado T. (G) 29. Garro J. 6. Lebarbier A. 19. Marchal A. 11. Ochieng J. 20. Osazuwa S. 26. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Pejino 🟨,
21', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
34', Carrera G. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Gil I. ⚽, Pejino (A),
43', Carbonell T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Gil I. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
57', Astiazaran L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
57', Carbonell T. ↓, Ochieng J. ↑,
57', Gorosabel G. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
64', Ochieng J. 🟨,
64', Pejino ↓, Viera J. ↑,
70', Lukovic M. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
70', Gil I. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
73', Kita K. 🟨,
76', Agote U. ↓, Balda J. ↑,
82', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
85', Loiodice E. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
86', Marvin ↓, Alex Suarez ↑,
87', Lebarbier A. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Clemente E. (Own goal),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Real Sociedad B has had a series of home games.

In this match, Las Palmas is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Gil I. (Injury) Pezzolesi V. (Red Card) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems) Viti (Health problems)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Olasagasti L. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Las Palmas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Córdoba - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	Las Palmas - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWTT
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Cádiz	3:3 ✺
29.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Málaga - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.22	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	0:0
29.10.21	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	0:1

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