The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 53%
Draw 26.4%
Las Palmas 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
29.5%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
27.1%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.7%
15.8%
10.5%
Eibar - Las Palmas Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 53.9% – 93.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Las Palmas (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 4. Elgezabal U. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Bernat J. 30. Garrido A. 8. Madariaga A. 7. Ares A. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 10. Guruzeta J. 20. Javier Marton
13. Caro J. (G) 25. Pezzolesi V. 4. Alex Suarez 21. Bonfanti G. 12. Loiodice E. 11. Miyashiro T. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 6. Gonzalez I. 24. Ivan Jaime 10. Jese 14. Fuster M.
Substitutes
15. Amador J. 18. Arana M. 9. Bautista J. 2. Cubero S. 3. Garcia de Albeniz I. 27. Gift E. 21. Gil I. 1. Lopez L. (G) 28. Nunez L. 17. Pejino 19. Perez E.
16. Acimovic M. 26. Bassinga A. 7. Betancor J. 30. Medina I. 3. Opoku N. 19. Ramirez S. 23. Rodriguez A. 29. Romero E. 42. Saiah R. 35. Suarez A. (G) 41. Valverde J. (G) 44. Vazquez A.
Coaches
Aranbarri J.
de la Barrera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Madariaga A. ⚽, Ares A. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Ares A. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Pezzolesi V. ⚽, Ivan Jaime (A),
28', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
37', Alex Suarez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Fuster M. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Javier Marton ⚽, Guruzeta J. (A),
68', Ares A. ↓, Gift E. ↑,
68', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
69', Garrido A. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
69', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
71', Jese ↓, Romero E. ↑,
71', Alex Suarez ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', Guruzeta J. ↓, Pejino ↑,
81', Bonfanti G. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
81', Ivan Jaime 🟨,
85', 3 - 2, Betancor J. ⚽, Romero E. (A),
86', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
90+1', Pezzolesi V. 🟨,
90+2', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ LaLiga and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.
Eibar arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Las Palmas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Las Palmas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Eibar for this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Eibar has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:19 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Eibar against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.5:1.1 per game).