Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect
India	22:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	10:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sport 1
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana, Gol Play, LaLiga Hypermotion, TV Canaria
Thailand	23:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	19:30	S Sport
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Las Palmas		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.00	2.85	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.80
	2.18	3.10	3.05	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.99
	2.35	3.25	3.13	Watch
	2.60	3.15	2.85
	2.51	3.25	2.98	Watch
	2.43	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)	2.95 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
38.3%

Draw
29.8%

Valladolid
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.8%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Las Palmas - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 73.9% – 100%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.83) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 25. Pezzolesi V. 4. Alex Suarez 21. Bonfanti G. 23. Rodriguez A. 11. Miyashiro T. 12. Loiodice E. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 24. Ivan Jaime 10. Jese 29. Romero E.	1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 27. Garriel I. 24. Juric S. 6. Lachuer M. 30. Fernandez V. 21. Ponceau J. 19. Arnuncio A. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
16. Acimovic M. 26. Bassinga A. 7. Betancor J. 14. Fuster M. 30. Medina I. 43. Mogedano E. (G) 3. Opoku N. 42. Saiah R. 35. Suarez A. (G) 44. Vazquez A.	16. Balboa A. 17. Barbera V. 11. Cabanzon Y. 34. Chinedu B. 18. Clerc C. 22. de Rooij K. 35. Galdeano A. 26. Lavagnino L. (G) 13. Martin D. (G) 5. Martinez R. 8. Ojeda T. 2. Trilli
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Pezzolesi V. ⚽, Ivan Jaime (A),
10', 1 - 1, Latasa J. ⚽, Fernandez V. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Ponceau J. ⚽, Fernandez V. (A),
35', Lachuer M. 🟨,
45', Ivan Jaime 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 2, Romero E. ⚽, Jese (A),
63', Lachuer M. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
67', Romero E. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
72', Jese ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez A. ↓,
77', Garriel I. ↓, Clerc C. ↑,
77', Arnuncio A. ↓, Barbera V. ↑,
77', Ponceau J. ↓, Ojeda T. ↑,
77', Escriba F. 🟨,
78', Fernandez V. 🟨,
82', de Rooij K. 🟨,
82', Fernandez V. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
88', Ivan Jaime ↓, Medina I. ↑,
90', Cabanzon Y. 🟨,
90+2', Medina I. 🟨,
90+4', Bonfanti G. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 4.

Las Palmas is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Valladolid have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Las Palmas holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:12 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Las Palmas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14:19	-5	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Las Palmas: 1.43% Valladolid: 1.43%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Girona - Las Palmas	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.26	Valladolid - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Valladolid - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cádiz - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1
14.11.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.22	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Valladolid - Las Palmas	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
15.08.21	Las Palmas - Valladolid	1:1

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