Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.2
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.35	2.9	2.95
	2.42	3.01	3.29
	2.33	3.15	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)	2.95 ↓ (3.16)	3.1 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
39.3%

Draw
31.1%

Navalcarnero
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

20.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Rozas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Las Rozas - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group)).

Las Rozas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navalcarnero is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Rozas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Las Rozas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Las Rozas - Eibar	3:4 ET ✺
16.12.20	Las Rozas - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.12.20	Las Rozas - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Atlético Baleares - Las Rozas	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.12.20	Las Rozas - Llagostera	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.01.21	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Navalcarnero - Eibar	3:1 ✺
06.01.21	Navalcarnero - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
17.12.20	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.20	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.20	Navalcarnero - Las Rozas	3:0

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