Match Info

Date: 6 January 2021, Wednesday


	Navalcarnero		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	4	3.4	1.9
	3.75	3.3	2
	3.35	3.15	2.03
	3.32	3.24	2.3
	3.7	3.25	2.1
	3.5	3.34	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4.7)	3.3 ↓ (3.64)	2.06 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
26%

Draw
28.4%

Las Palmas
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

25.4%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

21%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navalcarnero - Las Palmas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Navalcarnero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.20	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Navalcarnero - Poblense	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Navalcarnero - Atlético Baleares	3:3 ✺
21.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTTL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.21	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Varea - Las Palmas	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWTT

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