Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 8

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.65	2.92	2.82
	2.65	2.89	2.82
	2.67	3	2.54
	2.5	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.14)	2.98 ↓ (3.09)	2.71 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
35.4%

Draw
30.8%

Badajoz
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Navalcarnero - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Numancia - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Navalcarnero - Illescas	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Navalcarnero - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Montijo - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Badajoz - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Numancia - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Illescas - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Badajoz - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	1:0

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